College Football: Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 3:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)

The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -9.5 — Over/Under

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Saturday college football brings us to the Sun Belt where the UL Monroe Warhawks visit the Arkansas State Red Wolves.

The surging UL Monroe Warhawks have racked up four straight wins after downing South Alabama 38-10 as a touchdown road favorite. UL Monroe was dominant on both sides of the ball with a 551-218 yardage edge behind a strong passing attack.

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 11/17/18 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Caleb Evans was nearly perfect throwing the ball connecting on 27-32 for 367 yards and a pair of touchdowns while running 12 times for 54 yards and two more touchdowns.

Marcus Green topped the Warhawks on the ground with 68 yards on two touches with a trip to the end zone while D’Marius Gillespie hauled in seven catches for a contest high 159 yards and a TD.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are gunning for a third consecutive victory after upending Coastal Carolina 44-16as a touchdown road favorite. Arkansas State owned a 454-293 edge in yards with the ability to run and throw while forcing two turnovers.

The Red Wolves were almost perfect in the air with quarterback Justice Hansen connecting 18-20 for 253 yards and four touchdowns while Logan Bonner hit on 5-9 for 28 yards.

Marcel Murray and Warren Wand combined for 118 rushing yards on 15 carries with each finding the end zone. Kirk Merritt topped the Red Wolves receiving corps with eleven receptions for 180 yards.

Under is 6-0 in UL Monroe Warhawks last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and UL Monroe Warhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and UL Monroe Warhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November. Under is 7-1-1 in Arkansas State Red Wolves last 9 games in November and under is 7-1 in Arkansas State Red Wolves last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and Arkansas State Red Wolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. UL Monroe Warhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Arkansas State and favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and UL Monroe Warhawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

I think Arkansas State avoids the upset but I don’t think there is a night and day difference here so I’ll take the points…